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The Impact of Tight Inventory on the Housing Market

The housing crisis is finally in the rearview mirror as the real estate market moves down the road to a complete recovery. Home values are up, home sales are up, and distressed sales (foreclosures and short sales) have fallen to their lowest points in years. It seems that the market will continue to strengthen in 2018.

However, there is one thing that may cause the industry to tap the brakes: a lack of housing inventory. While buyer demand looks like it will remain strong throughout the winter, supply is not keeping up.

Here are the thoughts of a few industry experts on the subject:

 

National Association of Realtors

“Total housing inventory at the end of November dropped 7.2 percent to 1.67 million existing homes available for sale, and is now 9.7 percent lower than a year ago (1.85 million) and has fallen year-over-year for 30 consecutive months. Unsold inventory is at a 3.4-month supply at the current sales pace, which is down from 4.0 months a year ago.”

Joseph Kirchner, Senior Economist for Realtor.com

“The increases in single-family permits and starts show that builders are planning and starting new construction projects, that’s a good thing because it will help to relieve the shortage of homes on the market.”

Sam Khater, Deputy Chief Economist at CoreLogic

Inventory is tighter than it appears. It’s much lower for entry-level buyers.”

Bottom Line 

If you are thinking of selling, now may be the time. Demand for your house will be strong at a time when there is very little competition. That could lead to a quick sale for a really good price.

 

This article is not intended to be construed as investment advice from any of the information and/or opinions expressed. Chris Hayes Team – Keller Williams Realty NWLA does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. Individuals should always conduct their own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Chris Hayes Team – Keller Williams Realty NWLA will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.

712,000 Homes in the US Regained Equity in the Past 12 Months!

CoreLogic’s latest Equity Report revealed that “over the past 12 months, 712,000 borrowers moved into positive equity.” This is great news, as the share of homeowners with negative equity (those who owe more than their home is worth), has dropped more than 20% since the peak in Q4 of 2009 (26%) to 4.9% today.

The report also revealed:

  • The average homeowner gained approximately $14,900 in equity during the past year.
  • Compared to Q3 2016, negative equity decreased 22% from 3.2 million homes, or 6.3% of all mortgaged properties.
  • U.S. homeowners with mortgages (roughly 63% of all homeownershave seen their equity increase by a total of $870.6 billion since Q3 2016, an increase of 11.8%, year-over-year.

The map below shows the percentage of homes by state with a mortgage and positive equity. (The states in gray have insufficient data to report.)

712,000 Homes in the US Regained Equity in the Past 12 Months! | MyKCM

Significant Equity Is on The Rise

Frank Nothaft, Chief Economist at CoreLogic, believes this is great news for the “housing market.” He went on to say:

“Homeowner equity increased by almost $871 billion over the last 12 months, the largest increase in more than three years. This increase is primarily a reflection of rising home prices, which drives up home values, leading to an increase in home equity positions and supporting consumer spending.”

Of the 95.1% of homeowners with positive equity in the U.S., 82.9% have significant equity (defined as more than 20%). This means that more than three out of four homeowners with a mortgage could use the equity in their current home to purchase a new home now.

The map below shows the percentage of homes by state with a mortgage and significant equity.

712,000 Homes in the US Regained Equity in the Past 12 Months! | MyKCM

Bottom Line

If you are one of the many homeowners who are unsure of how much equity you have in your home and are curious about your ability to move, let’s meet up to evaluate your situation.

 

This article is not intended to be construed as investment advice from any of the information and/or opinions expressed. Chris Hayes Team – Keller Williams Realty NWLA does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. Individuals should always conduct their own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Chris Hayes Team – Keller Williams Realty NWLA will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.

OPEN HOUSE!!! – 2017 Dulverton Ct.

Come out and join us this Sunday for our Open House at 2017 Dulverton Ct. Shreveport, LA 71118 from 1-3pm!

This super clean and well maintained home for sale in the Southern Hills area in Shreveport is too cute! The home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and 1,600 heated square feet and is situated on a roomy lot dotted with mature shade trees located just a short drive to all the great shopping and dining along Mansfield Road!

The curb appeal is nice with an all brick exterior, low maintenance landscaping, and a big front porch perfect for seasonal decorating. This home has the space you’re looking for with a formal living room (which could also act as a home office or formal dining) and a cozy den with a dramatic cathedral ceiling, gas start wood burning fireplace with a brick surround, built-in shelving, and durable wood laminate flooring! The kitchen is so charming and features a smooth top range, new disposal, built-in hutch with display space, and a roomy dining space overlooking the backyard. Each of the bedrooms is spacious with plush carpeting and ceiling fan and the master has two nice size closets and a private bath!

The outdoor space is just as nice as the interior with a big covered patio, even bigger deck, and a fully fenced yard perfect for kids and pets! To see it is to love it so don’t wait, call 318-773-HOME (4663) today to set up a private tour or visit ShreveportBossierHomeSearch.com to set up a showing online!

Housing Prices are NOT Heading for Another Crash

As home values continue to increase at levels greater than historic norms, some are concerned that we are heading for another crash like the one we experienced ten years ago. We recently explained that the lenient lending standards of the previous decade (which created false demand) no longer exist. Again, today’s lending standards are nowhere near the levels of the boom years. As a matter of fact, they are more stringent than they were even before the boom.

But what about prices?

Are prices appreciating at the same rate that they were prior to the crash of 2006-2008? Let’s look at the numbers as reported by Freddie Mac:

Housing Prices are NOT Heading for Another Crash | MyKCM

The levels of appreciation we have experienced over the last four years aren’t anywhere near the levels that were reached in the four years prior to last decade’s crash.

We must also realize that, to a degree, the current run-up in prices is the market trying to catch up after a crash that dramatically dropped prices for five years.

Bottom Line

It is getting easier to gain financing for a home purchase. And, we are no longer seeing the irresponsible lending that caused the housing crisis. Prices are appreciating at levels greater than historic norms. However, we are not at the levels that led to the housing bubble and bust.

 

This article is not intended to be construed as investment advice from any of the information and/or opinions expressed. Chris Hayes Team – Keller Williams Realty NWLA does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. Individuals should always conduct their own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Chris Hayes Team – Keller Williams Realty NWLA will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.

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